UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs St. Pierre

2,260

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 9.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Longer reach 198 cm vs 193 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Weidman
Significant Strikes69
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman St. Pierre
Significant Strikes40
Weidman's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Weidman's excellent takedown offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Weidman 8.7
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Weidman 9.6
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Weidman 8.7
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Weidman 7.8
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Weidman 9.1
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Weidman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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