UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Hendricks

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
50% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,259

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 175 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman Hendricks
Significant Strikes60
Weidman's good striking offense is matched by Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Weidman
Significant Strikes67
Hendricks's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Hendricks's good takedown offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Hendricks 9.2
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Hendricks 9.1
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Hendricks 8.7
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Hendricks 6.7
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Hendricks 8.7
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Hendricks
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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