UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Lawlor

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
92% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

1,839

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.0 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Tom Lawlor
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawlor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman Lawlor
Significant Strikes67
Weidman's good striking offense may be a factor against Lawlor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lawlor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Lawlor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Lawlor
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lawlor Weidman
Significant Strikes35
Lawlor's average striking offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawlor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawlor is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawlor is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawlor is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Lawlor 8.2
Great striking by Weidman
20 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
16 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
58 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Lawlor 8.0
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Lawlor 7.4
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Lawlor 7.7
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Lawlor 8.3
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 19, 2011UFC 139
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
DECX
1,8731,785
1,9111,748
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Lawlor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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