UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Machida

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,164

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.0 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 30 years vs 36 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Significantly harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman Machida
Significant Strikes32
Weidman's good striking offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Weidman's excellent takedown offense is matched by Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Machida Weidman
Significant Strikes51
Machida's good striking offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Machida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Machida 8.7
Great striking by Machida
27 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Henderson
35 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Rua
28 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Evans

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Machida 8.0
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Machida 8.6
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Machida 6.8
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Machida 8.2
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 5, 2014UFC 175
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Machida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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You changed results published 1 weak ago! You told that Weidman wins… What happened?
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