UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Munoz

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

1,984

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 32 years vs 38 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Mark Munoz
From what we can tell, Chris Weidman dominates Mark Munoz in every way.
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Munoz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 6:53, how much damage will he do? Weidman Munoz
Significant Strikes28
Weidman's good striking offense is matched by Munoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:53
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Munoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:53
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Munoz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Munoz
In 6:53, how much damage will he do? Munoz Weidman
Significant Strikes21
Munoz's average striking offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:53
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Munoz's good takedown offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:53
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Munoz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Munoz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Munoz is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Munoz 8.6
Great striking by Weidman
20 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
16 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
58 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Munoz 8.8
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Munoz 8.1
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Munoz 6.8
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Munoz 8.1
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 11, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 4
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR1 KO
1,9832,066
2,0452,005
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Munoz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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