UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Araujo

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

1,883

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Valdir Araujo
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Araujo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Araujo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Valdir
Araujo
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Araujo is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Araujo is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Araujo is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Araujo 7.7
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Araujo 7.7
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Araujo 7.9
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 3, 2010ROC 33
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,6781,737
1,7361,679
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Araujo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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