UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Maia

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,102

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 32 years vs 39 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Demian Maia
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman Maia
Significant Strikes61
Weidman's good striking offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Weidman's excellent takedown offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Weidman
Significant Strikes37
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Maia 8.3
Great striking by Weidman
20 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
16 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
58 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Maia 9.7
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Maia 7.2
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Maia 8.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Maia 8.5
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 28, 2012UFC on Fox 2
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,9112,081
1,9832,008
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Maia
Read More
Weidman vs Mousasi
Fantasy Cage Match
Maia vs Penn
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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