VS
CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Weidman vs Mousasi
2,260
CageRank
WINNER
WINNER
Weidman
BY Decision
65% chance Weidman
WILL WIN
2,154
CageRank
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
| Much stronger takedown offense | 9.6 | vs | 8.6 | More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
| Significantly heavier hands | 8.7 | vs | 7.8 | More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders |
| Better takedown defense | 9.1 | vs | 8.6 | More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down |
| Taller | 188 cm | vs | 185 cm | Almost the same |
| Fast finishes | 9.1 | vs | 8.8 | Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
| Longer reach | 198 cm | vs | 196 cm | Almost the same |
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
| Significantly harder to hit | 9.9 | vs | 9.3 | More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
| Better submission offense | 8.4 | vs | 7.7 | Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
| Better submission defense | 9.3 | vs | 8.6 | Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
| Stronger jaw | 9.8 | vs | 9.3 | More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
| Heavier | 186 lbs | vs | 184 lbs | Almost the same |
| Better striker | 9.0 | vs | 8.7 | Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
| Puts up a fight | 9.9 | vs | 9.4 | More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
| Slightly younger | 32 years | vs | 34 years | More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Weidman on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
 Chris Weidman |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Weidman | Mousasi | |
|
Significant Strikes33
Weidman's good striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns5
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Excellent
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission |
Good
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Mousasi on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
 Gegard Mousasi |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Mousasi | Weidman | |
|
Significant Strikes60
Mousasi's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout |
Good
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?
Weidman
8.7
Mousasi
7.8
Great knockouts by Weidman
| Round 2 | Dec 28, 2013 | vs Silva |
| Round 2 | Jul 06, 2013 | vs Silva |
| Round 2 | Jul 11, 2012 | vs Munoz |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?
Weidman
7.8
Mousasi
8.4
Great submissions by Mousasi
| Round 1 | Jan 12, 2013 | vs Kyle |
| Round 1 | Sep 23, 2008 | vs Manhoef |
| Round 1 | Apr 29, 2008 | vs Kang |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
Weidman
Mousasi
Read More
Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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