UFC fight predictions and analysis
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Chris Weidman The All-American 14-3

Weight 184 lbs
Height 6' 2"
Reach 78"
Age 34

Gegard Mousasi 43-6-2 The Dreamcatcher

184 lbs
6' 2"
77"
33
VS
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Mousasi

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,154

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 198 cm vs 196 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Significantly harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman Mousasi
Significant Strikes33
Weidman's good striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
 vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
 vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
 vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
 vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
 vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Weidman
Significant Strikes60
Mousasi's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
 vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
 vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
 vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
 vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
 vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Mousasi 9.0
Great striking by Mousasi
23 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
12 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
6 strikes Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Mousasi 8.6
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Mousasi 7.8
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Mousasi 8.4
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Mousasi 8.8
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 8, 2017UFC 210
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Mousasi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
DC (08:20 PM, June 3, 2014)
What?? Weidman Striking accuracy depends of the range. He needs to have the opponent pinned, like silva on the cage on the 2nd fight hit on the temple rocking, or dancing around and not fighting. He will look very bad against machida, and win by decision but he would be beaten by either mousassi or rockhold. Almost same reach, younger, agressive, good wrestlers, athletic and strikers, wich he isnt. Check accuracy:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4ORrJcxh3w
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