UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Cormier

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
54% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,234

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 184 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 32 years vs 38 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Weidman Cormier
Significant Strikes60
Weidman's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Weidman's excellent takedown offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier Weidman
Significant Strikes66
Cormier's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Cormier 9.2
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Cormier 8.5
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Cormier 8.5
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Cormier 8.0
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Cormier 8.7
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Cormier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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