UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Bongfeldt

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

1,844

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much longer reach 198 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jesse Bongfeldt
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bongfeldt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 7:37, how much damage will he do? Weidman Bongfeldt
Significant Strikes39
Weidman's good striking offense may be a factor against Bongfeldt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:37
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Bongfeldt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:37
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bongfeldt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jesse
Bongfeldt
In 7:37, how much damage will he do? Bongfeldt Weidman
Significant Strikes16
Bongfeldt's average striking offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:37
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bongfeldt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bongfeldt is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bongfeldt has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bongfeldt is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Bongfeldt 8.1
Great striking by Weidman
20 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
16 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
58 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Bongfeldt 8.5
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Bongfeldt 7.3
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Bongfeldt 8.3
Great submissions by Bongfeldt
Round 3 Feb 28, 2008 vs Grant
Round 2 Sep 28, 2007 vs Clements
Round 1 Sep 09, 2006 vs St. Louis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Bongfeldt 8.0
Fast finishes by Weidman
376 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
378 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
397 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 11, 2011UFC 131
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,8111,898
1,8731,836
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Bongfeldt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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