UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs Rockhold

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.4 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 198 cm vs 196 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Significantly better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 8:33, how much damage will he do? Weidman Rockhold
Significant Strikes35
Weidman's good striking offense is matched by Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:33
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:33
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 8:33, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Weidman
Significant Strikes35
Rockhold's excellent striking offense is matched by Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:33
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:33
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Rockhold 9.1
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter Rockhold 7.4
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter Rockhold 7.9
Great knockouts by Weidman
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Munoz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter Rockhold 8.6
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter Rockhold 9.5
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2015UFC 194
team
VS
team
XR4 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend Rockhold
Read More
Weidman vs Mousasi
Fantasy Cage Match
Rockhold vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 25 comments.
Maybe you were right. We don't know or care. What we definitely know from your comment is that you are a cringe worthy moron.
you were right rockhold dominated weidman
Ha. Nobody who stopped smoking weed in HS still keeps their bong. Did you see that thing? An amazing work of art.
Lmao,you dumbass. I told you it would be at least close but since you've never seen Rockhold and jumped on the Weidman hype train you must've been shocked :) Guess you lack even half a brain cell then. #andnew
SO ROCKHOLD WINS... as expected. :)
TBE4LyfN88B , you removed your comment just because weidman lost the fight lol. "ill be back to talk to you after Weidman wins." <--- lol.
lol.
he said he stopped smoking weed in high school
wow, so right my man, not. little brat
You're an angry little fella ain't cha. What's your picks for next week
I am one stupid kid, thats why I said who would win and did not blink for a second thinking that weidman had a chance.
half a brain huh, you were wrong once again.
That was a crazy fight bro, wow, geeze.
you were so right on this fight, not
That was a great fight, tough picks but I got that one but it does not mean anything to me if mcgregor loses, but mcgregor will win so it doesn't matter any way. Great fights my brother
What a fight man. I'll be the first to admit I'm wrong. What a fight. Brutal ground and pound. Total domination by rockhold.
That's a good article. Very in depth and raises a lot of good points. However I just think weidman neutralises rockholds bjj, wrestling and most importantly striking as he is just as good in every aspect. I think it will turn out to be a dogfight like Rory vs Lawler in which weidman will win as he has shown his chin is steel compared to rockhold. It will be a difficult fight for both men, but weidmans toughness I think will win him the fight.
your sixteen, whoa. Your getting stuff right in mma fights!! , good for you. Type up on google this exact quote, " you better believe rockhold will smash weidman." When you do this then you will see five reasons why rockhold will win, I am strong on him winning but there is only one guarantee, thats mcgregor killing jose, bring that gold baby!!
I'm 16, why do you ask ?
Vitor stunned Wiedman and had an open window of opportunity to win. Rewarch it. Weidman was hurt. Vitor stunned him on the feet with kicks and punches then accidentally slipped and weidman capitalized off the slip into full mount. Weidman beat a clowing Anderson Silva. Then again by freak accident. Then went the distance with Machida and lost a couple rounds there. Then he was almost beaten by Vitor Belfort in the first two minutes. My cash is on Rockhold. 1 grand. I got in early at +150 odds. Now it's like +110 so lots of gambling money is on Rockhold.
Rockhold. He trains with DC and Cain. Weidman trains in Neeew Yaakkk. Weidman has kids and a family now. Rockhold does not. His focus is not distracted. Also - Vitor Belfort stunned Weidman on the feet before slipping and Weidman simply capitalized on that. The only thing is it appears Rockhold smokes marijuana. He was smoking just a few days before the fight. Not sure what to make of that.
Hi, how are you doing. If you don't mind me asking, how old are you sir?
Weidman is not fat, hes 189lb one week out from the fight idiot. He will win the fight.
McGregor WILL kill jose. However rockhold will not win. I think it will be a very hard fight for both men, but Weidman will win in round 4 or 5 either by stoppage or submission.
The fight happens on saturday dipshiit, rockhold will win and then mcgregor will kill jose
comments powered by Disqus