UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Weidman vs McGregor

2,260

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Weidman

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Weidman
WILL WIN

2,038

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Weidman
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.4 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 198 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Significantly heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Weidman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Weidman
In 9:11, how much damage will he do? Weidman McGregor
Significant Strikes49
Weidman's good striking offense may be a factor against McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Weidman's excellent takedown offense will dominate McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:11
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Weidman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Weidman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Weidman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 9:11, how much damage will he do? McGregor Weidman
Significant Strikes29
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:11
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
McGregor's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Weidman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by Weidman
20 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
16 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
58 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Weidman 9.6
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by Weidman
1 takedown Dec 28, 2013 vs Silva
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Silva
4 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Weidman 8.7
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Weidman 7.8
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Weidman
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Lawlor
Round 1 Jun 11, 2011 vs Bongfeldt
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Lopes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Weidman 9.1
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by McGregor
67 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
220 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
93 seconds Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Weidman
legend McGregor
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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