UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Munoz vs Palhares

1,984

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
66% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 6.8 Around 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Mark Munoz
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 6.3 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly longer reach 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Munoz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 4:52, how much damage will he do? Palhares Munoz
Significant Strikes8
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Munoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 44 Significant Strikes in 4:52
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Munoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Munoz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Munoz
In 4:52, how much damage will he do? Munoz Palhares
Significant Strikes20
Munoz's average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 44 Significant Strikes in 4:52
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Munoz's good takedown offense is matched by Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:52
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Munoz has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Munoz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Munoz is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Munoz 8.6
Great striking by Munoz
69 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Boetsch
39 strikes Nov 05, 2011 vs Leben
44 strikes Jun 11, 2011 vs Maia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Munoz 8.8
Great takedowns by Munoz
5 takedowns Jul 06, 2013 vs Boetsch
5 takedowns Nov 05, 2011 vs Leben
3 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Munoz 8.1
Great knockouts by Munoz
Round 2 Nov 05, 2011 vs Leben
Round 1 Mar 03, 2011 vs Dollaway
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Grove

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Munoz 6.8
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Munoz 8.1
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Munoz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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