UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tamura vs Dillashaw

1,611

CageRank

WINNER
Dillashaw

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Dillashaw
WILL WIN

1,994

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Issei Tamura
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tamura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 8:05, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw Tamura
Significant Strikes46
Dillashaw's good striking offense may be a factor against Tamura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:05
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Dillashaw's good takedown offense may be a factor against Tamura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:05
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Tamura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Issei
Tamura
In 8:05, how much damage will he do? Tamura Dillashaw
Significant Strikes30
Tamura's average striking offense is matched by Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:05
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Tamura's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:05
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tamura is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Tamura is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tamura is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
fighter Tamura 8.3
Great striking by Dillashaw
117 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
21 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
85 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Watson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
fighter Tamura 8.4
Great takedowns by Dillashaw
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
1 takedown Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
2 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
fighter Tamura 7.3
Great knockouts by Dillashaw
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura
Round 3 Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
fighter Tamura 6.6
Great submissions by Dillashaw
Round 1 Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
Round 1 Oct 02, 2010 vs Suarez
Round 1 May 22, 2010 vs Drucker

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
fighter Tamura 7.5
Fast finishes by Dillashaw
262 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
153 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
667 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 16, 2013UFC 158
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XDEC
1,7541,778
1,7071,825
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Dillashaw
legend Tamura
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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