UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Assuncao vs Faber

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
59% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Raphael Assuncao
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Assuncao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 12:17, how much damage will he do? Faber Assuncao
Significant Strikes48
Faber's average striking offense won't be a factor against Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:17
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Assuncao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raphael
Assuncao
In 12:17, how much damage will he do? Assuncao Faber
Significant Strikes47
Assuncao's good striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:17
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Assuncao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Assuncao is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Assuncao is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Assuncao has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Assuncao 8.8
Great striking by Assuncao
57 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Easton
53 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Eduardo
47 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Davis

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Assuncao 8.2
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Assuncao 6.9
Great knockouts by Assuncao
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Tamura
Round 1 Nov 08, 2008 vs Pearson
Round 1 Jan 23, 2004 vs Clark

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Assuncao 7.7
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Assuncao 7.8
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 10, 2010WEC 46
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XR1 SUB
2,0082,019
1,9592,067
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Assuncao
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus