UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Assuncao vs Dillashaw

2,100

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Assuncao

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Assuncao
WILL WIN

1,994

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Raphael Assuncao
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.9 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Assuncao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raphael
Assuncao
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Assuncao Dillashaw
Significant Strikes74
Assuncao's good striking offense may be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Assuncao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Assuncao is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Assuncao is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Assuncao has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Assuncao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw Assuncao
Significant Strikes61
Dillashaw's good striking offense is matched by Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Dillashaw's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Assuncao 8.8
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
Great striking by Assuncao
57 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Easton
53 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Eduardo
47 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Davis

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Assuncao 8.2
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
Great takedowns by Dillashaw
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
1 takedown Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
2 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Assuncao 6.9
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
Great knockouts by Dillashaw
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura
Round 3 Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Assuncao 7.7
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
Great submissions by Assuncao
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Lee
Round 3 Oct 14, 2006 vs Birdsley
Round 2 Feb 18, 2006 vs Lauzon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Assuncao 7.8
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
Fast finishes by Dillashaw
262 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
153 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
667 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 9, 2016UFC 200
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
October 9, 2013UFC Fight Night 29
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
2,0411,879
2,0701,851
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Assuncao
legend Dillashaw
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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