UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Assuncao vs Lee

2,100

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Assuncao

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Assuncao
WILL WIN

1,768

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Raphael Assuncao
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 171 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Vaughan Lee
From what we can tell, Raphael Assuncao dominates Vaughan Lee in every way.
Assuncao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raphael
Assuncao
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Assuncao Lee
Significant Strikes66
Assuncao's good striking offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Assuncao's average takedown offense may be a factor against Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Assuncao is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Assuncao has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Assuncao has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Assuncao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vaughan
Lee
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lee Assuncao
Significant Strikes55
Lee's average striking offense won't be a factor against Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lee's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Assuncao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Assuncao 8.8
fighter Lee 8.5
Great striking by Assuncao
57 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Easton
53 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Eduardo
47 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Davis

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Assuncao 8.2
fighter Lee 7.7
Great takedowns by Assuncao
3 takedowns Aug 27, 2011 vs Eduardo
4 takedowns Nov 11, 2010 vs Davis
2 takedowns Apr 05, 2009 vs Massouh

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Assuncao 6.9
fighter Lee 6.8
Great knockouts by Assuncao
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Tamura
Round 1 Nov 08, 2008 vs Pearson
Round 1 Jan 23, 2004 vs Clark

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Assuncao 7.7
fighter Lee 7.6
Great submissions by Assuncao
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Lee
Round 3 Oct 14, 2006 vs Birdsley
Round 2 Feb 18, 2006 vs Lauzon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Assuncao 7.8
fighter Lee 7.7
Fast finishes by Assuncao
325 seconds Jul 11, 2012 vs Tamura
702 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Birdsley
577 seconds Feb 18, 2006 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 8, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 10
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
DECX
2,0241,752
2,0411,734
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Assuncao
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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