UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Caslow vs Troxell

1,684

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Caslow

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
62% chance Caslow
WILL WIN

1,596

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lester Caslow
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Tim Troxell
Much heavier 144 lbs vs 139 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Caslow on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Troxell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lester
Caslow
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Caslow has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Caslow has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Caslow is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Troxell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Caslow’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Troxell
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Troxell is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Troxell has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Troxell is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Caslow 7.1
fighter Troxell 6.3
Great knockouts by Caslow
Round 1 Apr 13, 2013 vs Backman
Round 2 Sep 10, 2011 vs Jones
Round 2 Jul 28, 2007 vs Murray

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Caslow 7.7
fighter Troxell 7.6
Great submissions by Caslow
Round 2 Jun 15, 2012 vs van Hoven
Round 1 Sep 11, 2009 vs McManmon
Round 3 Jun 05, 2009 vs Gray

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Caslow 7.7
fighter Troxell 7.5
Fast finishes by Caslow
44 seconds Apr 13, 2013 vs Backman
315 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Jones
200 seconds Sep 11, 2009 vs McManmon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 12, 2008BCX 5
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
1,5781,683
1,5431,719
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Caslow
legend Troxell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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