UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cariaso vs Pettis

1,960

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cariaso

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
55% chance Cariaso
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Cariaso
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Sergio Pettis
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 24 years vs 36 years Around 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 168 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.2 Almost the same
Cariaso on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Cariaso
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cariaso Pettis
Significant Strikes73
Cariaso's average striking offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Cariaso's below average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cariaso is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cariaso is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cariaso has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cariaso’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergio
Pettis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pettis Cariaso
Significant Strikes58
Pettis's average striking offense won't be a factor against Cariaso's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Pettis's average takedown offense is matched by Cariaso's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cariaso 8.5
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Pettis
81 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Campuzano

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cariaso 7.8
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great takedowns by Pettis
2 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Campuzano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cariaso 7.2
fighter Pettis 7.3
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jun 21, 2013 vs Pegg
Round 2 Nov 18, 2011 vs Zelinski
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Winski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cariaso 6.7
fighter Pettis 7.3
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Sep 28, 2013 vs Porter
Round 1 Jun 16, 2012 vs McKenna
Round 1 Aug 07, 2010 vs Walenski

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cariaso 6.8
fighter Pettis 7.9
Fast finishes by Pettis
153 seconds Sep 28, 2013 vs Porter
51 seconds Jun 21, 2013 vs Pegg
232 seconds Jun 16, 2012 vs McKenna
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 3, 2015UFC 192
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cariaso
legend Pettis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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