UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Moraes vs Bixler

1,979

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Moraes

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance Moraes
WILL WIN

1,537

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Marlon Moraes
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Ryan Bixler
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Moraes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bixler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marlon
Moraes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Moraes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Moraes has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bixler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Bixler
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bixler is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bixler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Bixler is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Moraes 7.9
fighter Bixler 6.8
Great knockouts by Moraes
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
Round 1 Apr 13, 2012 vs Card

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Moraes 6.9
fighter Bixler 6.3
Great submissions by Moraes
Round 1 Apr 08, 2011 vs Bixler
Round 1 Oct 02, 2010 vs Joannes
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Santana

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Moraes 8.3
fighter Bixler 6.7
Fast finishes by Moraes
32 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
175 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
47 seconds Apr 13, 2012 vs Card
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 8, 2011RMMA 20
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 KOX
1,6251,612
1,6731,564
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Moraes
legend Bixler
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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