UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Moraes vs Assuncao

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Assuncao

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
67% chance Assuncao
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Raphael Assuncao
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Advantages for Marlon Moraes
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 30 years vs 36 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Assuncao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raphael
Assuncao
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Assuncao is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Assuncao has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Assuncao has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Moraes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Assuncao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marlon
Moraes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraes is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moraes is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Assuncao 6.9
fighter Moraes 7.9
Great knockouts by Moraes
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
Round 1 Apr 13, 2012 vs Card

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Assuncao 7.7
fighter Moraes 6.9
Great submissions by Assuncao
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Lee
Round 3 Oct 14, 2006 vs Birdsley
Round 2 Feb 18, 2006 vs Lauzon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Assuncao 7.8
fighter Moraes 8.3
Fast finishes by Moraes
32 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
175 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
47 seconds Apr 13, 2012 vs Card
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 3, 2017UFC 212
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Assuncao
legend Moraes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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