UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Moraes vs Joannes

1,979

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Moraes

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Moraes
WILL WIN

1,643

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Marlon Moraes
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Nicolas Joannes
Taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Moraes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Joannes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marlon
Moraes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraes is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Moraes has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Joannes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nicolas
Joannes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Joannes is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Joannes is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Joannes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Moraes 7.9
fighter Joannes 7.7
Great knockouts by Moraes
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
Round 1 Apr 13, 2012 vs Card

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Moraes 6.9
fighter Joannes 6.4
Great submissions by Moraes
Round 1 Apr 08, 2011 vs Bixler
Round 1 Oct 02, 2010 vs Joannes
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Santana

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Moraes 8.3
fighter Joannes 7.6
Fast finishes by Moraes
32 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
175 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
47 seconds Apr 13, 2012 vs Card
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 2, 2010S&S - Shoot & Sprawl 2
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,5781,562
1,6251,514
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Moraes
legend Joannes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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