UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Iaquinta vs Pichel

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Pichel

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Pichel
WILL WIN

1,840

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vinc Pichel
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 183 cm vs 177 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Al Iaquinta
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Pichel on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Iaquinta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vinc
Pichel
In 10:34, how much damage will he do? Pichel Iaquinta
Significant Strikes43
Pichel's average striking offense is matched by Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:34
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Pichel's average takedown offense is matched by Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pichel has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pichel is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Pichel is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Iaquinta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pichel’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Al
Iaquinta
In 10:34, how much damage will he do? Iaquinta Pichel
Significant Strikes58
Iaquinta's good striking offense may be a factor against Pichel's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:34
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Iaquinta's average takedown offense is matched by Pichel's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Iaquinta has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pichel 8.2
fighter Iaquinta 8.7
Great striking by Iaquinta
49 strikes Feb 01, 2014 vs Lee
85 strikes Oct 26, 2013 vs Hallmann
80 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Couture

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pichel 8.6
fighter Iaquinta 8.2
Great takedowns by Pichel
8 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Whiteley

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pichel 8.4
fighter Iaquinta 7.3
Great knockouts by Pichel
Round 2 Mar 25, 2011 vs Bahntge
Round 2 Jan 15, 2011 vs Chavez
Round 2 Jun 04, 2010 vs McDavitt

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pichel 6.4
fighter Iaquinta 6.6
Great submissions by Iaquinta
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pichel 7.8
fighter Iaquinta 7.4
Fast finishes by Pichel
332 seconds Mar 25, 2011 vs Bahntge
472 seconds Jan 15, 2011 vs Chavez
323 seconds Jun 04, 2010 vs McDavitt
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pichel
legend Iaquinta
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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