UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Iaquinta vs Sanchez

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Sanchez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Sanchez
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.0 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
A lot taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 183 cm vs 177 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Slightly better striker 8.7 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Al Iaquinta
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Iaquinta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Iaquinta
Significant Strikes82
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Sanchez's average takedown offense is matched by Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Iaquinta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Al
Iaquinta
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Iaquinta Sanchez
Significant Strikes76
Iaquinta's good striking offense may be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Iaquinta's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Iaquinta has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sanchez 8.7
fighter Iaquinta 8.7
Great striking by Sanchez
65 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
51 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
66 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sanchez 8.5
fighter Iaquinta 8.2
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Iaquinta 7.3
Great knockouts by Sanchez
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Fioravanti
Round 1 Dec 13, 2006 vs Riggs
Round 1 Apr 09, 2005 vs Florian

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Iaquinta 6.6
Great submissions by Sanchez
Round 1 Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
Round 2 Aug 20, 2005 vs Gassaway
Round 1 May 15, 2004 vs Elbe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sanchez 7.7
fighter Iaquinta 7.4
Fast finishes by Sanchez
847 seconds Jun 21, 2008 vs Fioravanti
283 seconds Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
105 seconds Dec 13, 2006 vs Riggs
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sanchez
legend Iaquinta
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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