UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Iaquinta vs Masvidal

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
86% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 185 cm vs 177 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Al Iaquinta
Slightly younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Iaquinta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Iaquinta
Significant Strikes82
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Iaquinta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Al
Iaquinta
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Iaquinta Masvidal
Significant Strikes67
Iaquinta's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Iaquinta's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Iaquinta has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Iaquinta 8.7
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Iaquinta 8.2
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Iaquinta 7.3
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Iaquinta 6.6
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Iaquinta 7.4
Fast finishes by Masvidal
503 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
79 seconds Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
117 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 4, 2015UFC Fight Night 63
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Iaquinta
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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