UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Iaquinta vs Melendez

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.7 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 177 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Al Iaquinta
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Iaquinta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Iaquinta
Significant Strikes99
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Iaquinta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Al
Iaquinta
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Iaquinta Melendez
Significant Strikes60
Iaquinta's good striking offense is matched by Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Iaquinta's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Iaquinta has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Iaquinta 8.7
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Iaquinta 8.2
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Iaquinta 7.3
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Iaquinta 6.6
Great submissions by Iaquinta
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Iaquinta 7.4
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Iaquinta
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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