UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Iaquinta vs Lee

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Lee

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Lee
WILL WIN

1,856

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 24 years vs 29 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Al Iaquinta
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Iaquinta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
In 10:21, how much damage will he do? Lee Iaquinta
Significant Strikes48
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:21
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lee's average takedown offense is matched by Iaquinta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Iaquinta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Al
Iaquinta
In 10:21, how much damage will he do? Iaquinta Lee
Significant Strikes53
Iaquinta's good striking offense may be a factor against Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:21
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Iaquinta's average takedown offense is matched by Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Iaquinta is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Iaquinta has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lee 8.4
fighter Iaquinta 8.7
Great striking by Iaquinta
49 strikes Feb 01, 2014 vs Lee
85 strikes Oct 26, 2013 vs Hallmann
80 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lee 6.6
fighter Iaquinta 7.3
Great knockouts by Iaquinta
Round 1 Sep 09, 2011 vs Miglioli
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Key
Round 1 Jun 12, 2009 vs Sylvester

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lee 8.1
fighter Iaquinta 6.6
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
Round 3 Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Prepolec

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lee 7.9
fighter Iaquinta 7.4
Fast finishes by Lee
84 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Moon
46 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
689 seconds Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 1, 2014UFC 169
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lee
legend Iaquinta
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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