UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Wade vs Aubin-Mercier

1,788

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Wade

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Wade
WILL WIN

1,651

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Wade
Longer winning streak 5 fights vs 3 fights More than 65% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger jaw 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Wade on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aubin-Mercier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Wade
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wade is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Wade has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Wade has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Aubin-Mercier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wade’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Olivier
Aubin-Mercier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aubin-Mercier is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aubin-Mercier has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Aubin-Mercier is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Wade 6.5
fighter Aubin-Mercier 6.8
Great knockouts by Aubin-Mercier
Round 1 Apr 07, 2018 vs Dunham

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Wade 7.2
fighter Aubin-Mercier 8.1
Great submissions by Aubin-Mercier
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Meisel
Round 1 Nov 30, 2012 vs Jewell
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs Poulin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Wade 7.4
fighter Aubin-Mercier 8.2
Fast finishes by Aubin-Mercier
98 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Meisel
113 seconds Nov 30, 2012 vs Jewell
58 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs Poulin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Wade
legend Aubin-Mercier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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