UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cherman vs Arinelli

1,721

CageRank

WINNER
Arinelli

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Arinelli
WILL WIN

1,768

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Felipe Arinelli
Much heavier 169 lbs vs 161 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Danilo Cherman
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Arinelli on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cherman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Felipe
Arinelli
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Arinelli is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Arinelli is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Arinelli is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Cherman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Arinelli’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Danilo
Cherman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cherman is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cherman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cherman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Arinelli 6.7
fighter Cherman 6.2
Great knockouts by Arinelli
Round 1 Dec 09, 2011 vs de Castro
Round 2 Apr 08, 2006 vs Fernando Miranda
Round 0 Feb 25, 2006 vs Diaz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Arinelli 7.4
fighter Cherman 8.1
Great submissions by Cherman
Round 2 Jun 05, 2010 vs Nacfur
Round 1 Apr 19, 2008 vs Regiz
Round 1 Apr 06, 2006 vs Khacha

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Arinelli 7.6
fighter Cherman 7.7
Fast finishes by Cherman
507 seconds Jun 05, 2010 vs Nacfur
169 seconds Apr 19, 2008 vs Regiz
290 seconds Nov 05, 2005 vs Nunes Santos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 15, 2003Shooto - Brazil 2
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,5001,550
1,5571,493
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Arinelli
legend Cherman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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