UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kelleher vs Chaves

1,685

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Kelleher

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
62% chance Kelleher
WILL WIN

1,599

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brian Kelleher
Much stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Raphael Chaves
Much heavier 145 lbs vs 141 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Kelleher on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chaves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Kelleher
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kelleher has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Kelleher has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Kelleher is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Chaves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kelleher’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raphael
Chaves
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chaves is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chaves has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Chaves is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kelleher 7.5
fighter Chaves 7.8
Great knockouts by Chaves
Round 1 Apr 19, 2008 vs DiTola
Round 1 Oct 13, 2007 vs Zuniga

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kelleher 7.3
fighter Chaves 7.3
Great submissions by Chaves
Round 1 Aug 19, 2011 vs Armeli

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kelleher 7.8
fighter Chaves 8.1
Fast finishes by Chaves
56 seconds Aug 19, 2011 vs Armeli
71 seconds Apr 19, 2008 vs DiTola
47 seconds Oct 13, 2007 vs Zuniga
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 14, 2012CFFC 14
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,6101,656
1,6671,599
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kelleher
legend Chaves
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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