UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Azeredo vs Gomi

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Gomi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Gomi
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Luiz Azeredo
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Azeredo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 11:27, how much damage will he do? Gomi Azeredo
Significant Strikes59
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Azeredo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Azeredo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Azeredo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luiz
Azeredo
In 11:27, how much damage will he do? Azeredo Gomi
Significant Strikes57
Azeredo's average striking offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:27
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Azeredo's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Azeredo is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Azeredo is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Azeredo is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gomi 8.9
fighter Azeredo 8.6
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gomi 8.4
fighter Azeredo 7.1
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.0
fighter Azeredo 6.8
Great submissions by Gomi
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs Baron
Round 1 Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Oct 14, 2004 vs Bennett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gomi 8.2
fighter Azeredo 7.4
Fast finishes by Gomi
64 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
74 seconds Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
462 seconds Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 25, 2005Pride - Bushido 9
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
XR1 KO
1,7742,037
1,7562,055
May 22, 2005Pride - Bushido 7
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,8001,987
1,7742,012
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gomi
legend Azeredo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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