UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Azeredo vs Daley

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier 170 lbs vs 158 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.1 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 41 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Luiz Azeredo
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Azeredo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 9:39, how much damage will he do? Daley Azeredo
Significant Strikes46
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Azeredo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:39
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Azeredo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:39
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Azeredo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luiz
Azeredo
In 9:39, how much damage will he do? Azeredo Daley
Significant Strikes42
Azeredo's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:39
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Azeredo's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Azeredo is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Azeredo is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Azeredo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Azeredo 8.6
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Azeredo 7.1
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Azeredo 6.8
Great submissions by Azeredo
Round 1 Sep 10, 2010 vs Adamson
Round 1 May 14, 1997 vs Alexandre

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Azeredo 7.4
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 9, 2006Cage Rage 19
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 KO
1,7691,797
1,8231,743
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Azeredo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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