UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barboza vs Oliveira

2,053

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barboza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Barboza
WILL WIN

1,792

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 6.9 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 182 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Rafaello Oliveira
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 7:56, how much damage will he do? Barboza Oliveira
Significant Strikes53
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:56
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:56
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafaello
Oliveira
In 7:56, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Barboza
Significant Strikes34
Oliveira's average striking offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Oliveira's average takedown offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Oliveira 8.1
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barboza 7.6
fighter Oliveira 8.0
Great takedowns by Oliveira
4 takedowns Jul 07, 2012 vs Izquierdo
6 takedowns Jan 02, 2010 vs Gunderson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Oliveira 6.9
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barboza 6.7
fighter Oliveira 7.4
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 1 Nov 24, 2010 vs Roddy
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Thompson
Round 1 Feb 09, 2006 vs Santana Toldo

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barboza 8.7
fighter Oliveira 7.8
Fast finishes by Barboza
404 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
158 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
722 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 6, 2013UFC 162
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R1 KOX
1,9711,865
2,0061,830
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barboza
legend Oliveira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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