UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barboza vs Johnson

2,053

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barboza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Barboza
WILL WIN

2,023

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 191 cm vs 187 cm Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Michael Johnson
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 12:03, how much damage will he do? Barboza Johnson
Significant Strikes70
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:03
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Johnson
In 12:03, how much damage will he do? Johnson Barboza
Significant Strikes64
Johnson's average striking offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 12:03
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Johnson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:03
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Johnson 8.6
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barboza 7.6
fighter Johnson 7.8
Great takedowns by Johnson
2 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Lauzon
1 takedown Jan 28, 2012 vs Roller
1 takedown Jun 26, 2011 vs Faaloloto

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Johnson 8.3
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barboza 6.7
fighter Johnson 6.6
Great submissions by Barboza
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs King

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barboza 8.7
fighter Johnson 8.0
Fast finishes by Barboza
404 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
158 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
722 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 22, 2015UFC Fight Night 61
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barboza
legend Johnson
Read More
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Johnson vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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