UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barboza vs Pearson

2,053

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barboza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Barboza
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Much longer reach 191 cm vs 175 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Ross Pearson
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pearson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 10:24, how much damage will he do? Barboza Pearson
Significant Strikes65
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:24
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pearson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ross
Pearson
In 10:24, how much damage will he do? Pearson Barboza
Significant Strikes62
Pearson's good striking offense may be a factor against Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:24
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pearson's average takedown offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pearson is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pearson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pearson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Pearson 8.9
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barboza 7.6
fighter Pearson 8.1
Great takedowns by Pearson
1 takedown Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
1 takedown Dec 30, 2011 vs Assuncao
3 takedowns Feb 27, 2011 vs Fisher

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Pearson 7.9
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barboza 6.7
fighter Pearson 7.3
Great submissions by Pearson
Round 1 Nov 01, 2008 vs Jones
Round 1 May 31, 2008 vs Celerier
Round 3 May 03, 2008 vs Marron

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barboza 8.7
fighter Pearson 7.9
Fast finishes by Barboza
404 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
158 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
722 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 27, 2011UFC 134
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,8911,906
1,9431,854
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barboza
legend Pearson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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