UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barboza vs Etim

2,053

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barboza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
78% chance Barboza
WILL WIN

1,830

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 6.6 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Terry Etim
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Etim’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Barboza Etim
Significant Strikes64
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate Etim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Etim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Etim on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Terry
Etim
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Etim Barboza
Significant Strikes53
Etim's average striking offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Etim's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Etim is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Etim has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Etim is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Etim 8.3
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Barboza 7.6
fighter Etim 7.4
Great takedowns by Barboza
2 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Njokuani
2 takedowns Nov 20, 2010 vs Lullo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Etim 6.6
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barboza 6.7
fighter Etim 8.2
Great submissions by Etim
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Gugerty
Round 2 Jun 13, 2009 vs Buchholz
Round 1 Apr 21, 2007 vs Grice

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barboza 8.7
fighter Etim 8.1
Fast finishes by Barboza
404 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
158 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
722 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 14, 2012UFC 142
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R1 KOX
1,9431,912
1,9891,866
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barboza
legend Etim
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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