CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Barboza vs Aldo
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much harder to hit | 9.2 | vs | 8.3 | More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Much better takedown defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.5 | More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down |
Significantly better submission defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.4 | More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Puts up a fight | 9.6 | vs | 8.6 | More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Stronger jaw | 9.1 | vs | 8.6 | More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Stronger takedown offense | 7.9 | vs | 7.6 | Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Significantly longer reach | 191 cm | vs | 178 cm | More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
Taller | 180 cm | vs | 170 cm | More than 5% taller |
Heavier hands | 9.1 | vs | 8.8 | Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
Better striker | 9.1 | vs | 8.9 | Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Better submission offense | 6.7 | vs | 6.6 | Almost the same |
Heavier | 155 lbs | vs | 144 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Aldo on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For Jose Aldo |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 9:40, how much damage will he do? | Aldo | Barboza | |
Significant Strikes57
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:40 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:40 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Barboza on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For Edson Barboza |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 9:40, how much damage will he do? | Barboza | Aldo | |
Significant Strikes44
Barboza's excellent striking offense is matched by Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:40 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns0
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:40 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission |
Below average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes | Dec 14, 2013 | vs Castillo |
26 strikes | Jan 19, 2013 | vs Martins |
47 strikes | Jan 14, 2012 | vs Etim |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Aldo
5 takedowns | Aug 03, 2013 | vs Sung Jung |
5 takedowns | Apr 30, 2011 | vs Hominick |
1 takedown | Nov 18, 2009 | vs Thomas Brown |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 | Jul 06, 2013 | vs Oliveira |
Round 1 | Jan 19, 2013 | vs Martins |
Round 3 | Jan 14, 2012 | vs Etim |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Barboza
Round 1 | Nov 20, 2009 | vs King |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds | Jan 14, 2012 | vs Mendes |
380 seconds | Nov 18, 2009 | vs Thomas Brown |
8 seconds | Jun 07, 2009 | vs Swanson |
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?