Edson Barboza 19-5

Weight 155 lbs
Height 5' 11"
Reach 75"
Age 32

Jose Aldo 26-4 Scarface

144 lbs
5' 7"
70"
31

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barboza vs Aldo

CageRank

81% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Jose Aldo

Much harder to hit	9.2	vs	8.3	More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense	9.5	vs	8.5	More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense	9.5	vs	8.4	More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight	9.6	vs	8.6	More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw	9.1	vs	8.6	More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense	7.9	vs	7.6	Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat

Advantages for Edson Barboza

Significantly longer reach	191 cm	vs	178 cm	More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller	180 cm	vs	170 cm	More than 5% taller
Heavier hands	9.1	vs	8.8	Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker	9.1	vs	8.9	Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission offense	6.7	vs	6.6	Almost the same
Heavier	155 lbs	vs	144 lbs	Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control

Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills

Predictions For Jose Aldo
In 9:40, how much damage will he do?	Aldo		Barboza
Significant Strikes57 Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Barboza's defense Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:40	Good Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Barboza's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:40	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Aldo is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability

Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills

Predictions For Edson Barboza
In 9:40, how much damage will he do?	Barboza		Aldo
Significant Strikes44 Barboza's excellent striking offense is matched by Aldo's defense Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:40	Excellent Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0 Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:40	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Barboza is unlikely to win by submission	Below average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Barboza is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability