UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barboza vs Melendez

2,053

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 7.6 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Significantly heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Barboza
Significant Strikes102
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Barboza Melendez
Significant Strikes76
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Barboza 9.1
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Barboza 7.6
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Barboza 9.1
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Barboza 6.7
Great submissions by Barboza
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs King

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Barboza 8.7
Fast finishes by Barboza
404 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
158 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
722 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 23, 2016UFC on Fox 20
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Barboza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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