UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barboza vs Lee

2,053

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barboza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Barboza
WILL WIN

1,856

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Much heavier hands 9.1 vs 6.6 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Kevin Lee
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 25 years vs 32 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 9:17, how much damage will he do? Barboza Lee
Significant Strikes56
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:17
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:17
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Lee
In 9:17, how much damage will he do? Lee Barboza
Significant Strikes45
Lee's average striking offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lee's average takedown offense is matched by Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Lee 8.4
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Lee 6.6
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barboza 6.7
fighter Lee 8.1
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Gervais
Round 3 Jul 19, 2013 vs Lile
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Prepolec

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barboza 8.7
fighter Lee 7.9
Fast finishes by Barboza
404 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
158 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
722 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barboza
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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