UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barboza vs Martins

2,053

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barboza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
62% chance Barboza
WILL WIN

1,968

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Edson Barboza
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Lucas Martins
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Barboza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Martins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Edson
Barboza
In 9:52, how much damage will he do? Barboza Martins
Significant Strikes65
Barboza's excellent striking offense will dominate Martins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:52
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barboza's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Martins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:52
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barboza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barboza is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barboza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Martins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barboza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lucas
Martins
In 9:52, how much damage will he do? Martins Barboza
Significant Strikes56
Martins's good striking offense may be a factor against Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Martins's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barboza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:52
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Martins has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Martins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Martins is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Martins 8.7
Great striking by Barboza
43 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs Castillo
26 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
47 strikes Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barboza 9.1
fighter Martins 8.9
Great knockouts by Barboza
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
Round 3 Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barboza 6.7
fighter Martins 7.1
Great submissions by Martins
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs Hernandez
Round 1 Dec 08, 2012 vs Sampaio
Round 1 Sep 11, 2011 vs Hermogenes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barboza 8.7
fighter Martins 8.4
Fast finishes by Barboza
404 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Oliveira
158 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Martins
722 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Etim
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 19, 2013UFC on FX 7
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
1,9271,884
1,9711,840
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barboza
legend Martins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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