UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hunt vs Struve

1,958

CageRank

WINNER
Struve

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Struve
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 178 cm 20% taller
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 188 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 30 years vs 44 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Mark Hunt
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hunt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 10:24, how much damage will he do? Struve Hunt
Significant Strikes34
Struve's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:24
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:24
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Struve has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hunt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Hunt
In 10:24, how much damage will he do? Hunt Struve
Significant Strikes59
Hunt's good striking offense may be a factor against Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:24
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hunt's average takedown offense is matched by Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hunt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hunt is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hunt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Struve 8.4
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great striking by Hunt
47 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Struve
50 strikes Dec 31, 2005 vs Filipovic
76 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Silva

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Struve 7.3
fighter Hunt 8.2
Great takedowns by Hunt
1 takedown Mar 03, 2013 vs Struve
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Rothwell
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Kosaka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Struve 8.1
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great knockouts by Hunt
Round 3 Mar 03, 2013 vs Struve
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Kongo
Round 2 Feb 27, 2011 vs Tuchscherer

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Struve 8.0
fighter Hunt 6.6
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Struve 8.8
fighter Hunt 7.8
Fast finishes by Struve
530 seconds Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
65 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
532 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 3, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 8
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,9022,061
1,9741,990
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Struve
legend Hunt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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