UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rafols vs Smolka

1,622

CageRank

WINNER
Smolka

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Smolka
WILL WIN

1,821

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Louis Smolka
Significantly heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jessie Rafols
Much heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Smolka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rafols’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Louis
Smolka
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smolka is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Smolka has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Smolka is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rafols on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smolka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jessie
Rafols
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rafols is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rafols has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rafols is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Smolka 7.3
fighter Rafols 6.5
Great knockouts by Smolka
Round 2 Nov 09, 2013 vs Cali
Round 2 Apr 28, 2012 vs Pacarro
Round 2 May 15, 2010 vs Henamendez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Rafols 7.9
Great submissions by Rafols
Round 1 Dec 01, 2012 vs Mangusan
Round 1 Apr 02, 2011 vs Morikawa
Round 2 Mar 27, 2010 vs Focad

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Smolka 7.9
fighter Rafols 7.9
Fast finishes by Rafols
207 seconds Apr 02, 2011 vs Morikawa
444 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Focad
76 seconds Nov 22, 2008 vs Madrona
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,6641,724
1,6221,765
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Smolka
legend Rafols
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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