UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Boetsch vs Matyushenko

1,989

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Boetsch

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Boetsch
WILL WIN

1,882

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 36 years vs 47 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Vladimir Matyushenko
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matyushenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Matyushenko
Significant Strikes68
Boetsch's average striking offense is matched by Matyushenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Boetsch's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Matyushenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Matyushenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vladimir
Matyushenko
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Matyushenko Boetsch
Significant Strikes66
Matyushenko's average striking offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Matyushenko's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Boetsch 8.5
fighter Matyushenko 8.4
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Boetsch 8.2
fighter Matyushenko 8.4
Great takedowns by Matyushenko
2 takedowns Nov 13, 2010 vs Ferreira
4 takedowns Sep 19, 2009 vs Pokrajac
3 takedowns Jun 29, 2001 vs Kondo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Boetsch 7.6
fighter Matyushenko 7.8
Great knockouts by Matyushenko
Round 1 Apr 30, 2011 vs Brilz
Round 1 Nov 13, 2010 vs Ferreira
Round 1 May 30, 1998 vs Macias

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Boetsch 7.4
fighter Matyushenko 6.8
Great submissions by Boetsch
Round 2 Jan 16, 2010 vs Sylvester Lindsey
Round 2 Aug 15, 2009 vs Stark
Round 2 Jul 28, 2007 vs Barrett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Boetsch 7.8
fighter Matyushenko 8.0
Fast finishes by Matyushenko
20 seconds Apr 30, 2011 vs Brilz
140 seconds Nov 13, 2010 vs Ferreira
250 seconds Nov 22, 2002 vs Wiuff
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 2, 2007IFL - 2007 Semifinals
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 KO
1,7461,958
1,7231,981
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Boetsch
legend Matyushenko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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