UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Boetsch vs Okami

1,989

CageRank

WINNER
Okami

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
72% chance Okami
WILL WIN

2,150

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yushin Okami
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.5 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Okami on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yushin
Okami
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Okami Boetsch
Significant Strikes63
Okami's average striking offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Okami's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Okami is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Okami is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Okami has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Okami’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Okami
Significant Strikes61
Boetsch's average striking offense is matched by Okami's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Boetsch's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Okami's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Okami 8.3
fighter Boetsch 8.5
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Okami 8.4
fighter Boetsch 8.2
Great takedowns by Okami
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Lombard
1 takedown Dec 29, 2012 vs Belcher
1 takedown Nov 13, 2010 vs Marquardt

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Okami 7.9
fighter Boetsch 7.6
Great knockouts by Okami
Round 2 Aug 11, 2012 vs Roberts
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Tanner
Round 1 Jun 11, 2006 vs Takeuchi

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Okami 7.3
fighter Boetsch 7.4
Great submissions by Boetsch
Round 2 Jan 16, 2010 vs Sylvester Lindsey
Round 2 Aug 15, 2009 vs Stark
Round 2 Jul 28, 2007 vs Barrett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Okami 8.0
fighter Boetsch 7.8
Fast finishes by Okami
480 seconds Mar 01, 2008 vs Tanner
153 seconds Jan 20, 2006 vs Silva
29 seconds Jun 11, 2005 vs Thompson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 26, 2012UFC 144
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XDEC
1,9782,133
2,0492,062
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Okami
legend Boetsch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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