UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Boetsch vs Brown

1,989

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Boetsch

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance Boetsch
WILL WIN

1,783

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 37 years vs 41 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Todd Brown
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Brown
Significant Strikes74
Boetsch's average striking offense is matched by Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Boetsch's average takedown offense is matched by Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Todd
Brown
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brown Boetsch
Significant Strikes64
Brown's average striking offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brown's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Boetsch 8.5
fighter Brown 8.3
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Boetsch 8.2
fighter Brown 8.1
Great takedowns by Boetsch
4 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Ring
7 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Grove
3 takedowns Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Boetsch 7.6
fighter Brown 7.0
Great knockouts by Boetsch
Round 3 Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Round 1 Feb 02, 2008 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Boetsch 7.4
fighter Brown 7.9
Great submissions by Brown
Round 3 Dec 05, 2008 vs Fields
Round 2 Jun 28, 2008 vs Roufus
Round 2 May 24, 2008 vs McKenzie

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Boetsch 7.8
fighter Brown 7.7
Fast finishes by Boetsch
654 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
65 seconds Apr 03, 2010 vs Shaner
123 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 7, 2010UFC 117
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,8841,928
1,9401,872
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Boetsch
legend Brown
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus