UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Chiesa

2,178

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pettis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Pettis
WILL WIN

1,954

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.2 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Michael Chiesa
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 192 cm vs 184 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chiesa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 6:40, how much damage will he do? Pettis Chiesa
Significant Strikes29
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Chiesa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:40
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense is matched by Chiesa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Chiesa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Chiesa
In 6:40, how much damage will he do? Chiesa Pettis
Significant Strikes14
Chiesa's average striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:40
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Chiesa's good takedown offense may be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:40
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chiesa is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chiesa has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chiesa is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pettis 8.6
fighter Chiesa 8.1
Great striking by Pettis
9 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
9 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.0
fighter Chiesa 8.9
Great takedowns by Chiesa
1 takedown Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
1 takedown Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pettis 8.3
fighter Chiesa 6.2
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Castillo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.4
fighter Chiesa 8.8
Great submissions by Chiesa
Round 2 Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
Round 2 Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
Round 1 Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pettis 9.3
fighter Chiesa 8.2
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 7, 2018UFC 226
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pettis
legend Chiesa
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Chiesa vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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