UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Oliveira

2,178

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pettis

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Pettis
WILL WIN

2,002

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly younger 28 years vs 30 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 6:49, how much damage will he do? Pettis Oliveira
Significant Strikes31
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:49
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 6:49, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Pettis
Significant Strikes20
Oliveira's average striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:49
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Oliveira's average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pettis 8.6
fighter Oliveira 8.6
Great striking by Oliveira
42 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
6 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
35 strikes Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.0
fighter Oliveira 8.7
Great takedowns by Oliveira
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
1 takedown Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
2 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pettis 8.3
fighter Oliveira 7.1
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Castillo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.4
fighter Oliveira 9.4
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pettis 9.3
fighter Oliveira 8.8
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 27, 2016UFC on Fox 21
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pettis
legend Oliveira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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