UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Roller

2,178

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pettis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
88% chance Pettis
WILL WIN

1,825

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.6 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly younger 30 years vs 38 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Shane Roller
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Roller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 5:59, how much damage will he do? Pettis Roller
Significant Strikes32
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Roller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 54 Significant Strikes in 5:59
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense is matched by Roller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:59
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Roller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shane
Roller
In 5:59, how much damage will he do? Roller Pettis
Significant Strikes10
Roller's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 54 Significant Strikes in 5:59
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Roller's average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:59
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Roller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Roller is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Roller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pettis 8.6
fighter Roller 7.8
Great striking by Pettis
9 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
9 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.0
fighter Roller 8.3
Great takedowns by Roller
3 takedowns Jul 07, 2012 vs Alessio
1 takedown Dec 16, 2010 vs Varner
2 takedowns Apr 24, 2010 vs Njokuani

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pettis 8.3
fighter Roller 7.3
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Castillo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.4
fighter Roller 7.8
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pettis 9.3
fighter Roller 8.1
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 18, 2010WEC 50
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,8571,881
1,9101,828
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pettis
legend Roller
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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