UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Alvarez

2,178

CageRank

WINNER
Alvarez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Alvarez
WILL WIN

2,231

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eddie Alvarez
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Alvarez
In 11:47, how much damage will he do? Alvarez Pettis
Significant Strikes36
Alvarez's good striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:47
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Alvarez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:47
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 11:47, how much damage will he do? Pettis Alvarez
Significant Strikes52
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:47
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alvarez 8.7
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Alvarez
20 strikes Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
46 strikes Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
48 strikes May 11, 2008 vs Hansen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Alvarez 9.2
fighter Pettis 8.0
Great takedowns by Alvarez
2 takedowns Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
7 takedowns May 11, 2008 vs Hansen
3 takedowns Mar 15, 2008 vs Amado

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvarez 8.8
fighter Pettis 8.3
Great knockouts by Alvarez
Round 1 Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
Round 2 Oct 21, 2010 vs Huerta
Round 1 Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvarez 8.1
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvarez 8.9
fighter Pettis 9.3
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 17, 2016UFC Fight Night 81
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvarez
legend Pettis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 4 comments.
Does he really?
Ya, pettis can't box but alvarez can't take the shots. Pettis lossed because of wrestling but many people overlook that he can't box, When melendez boxed him out, he got a submission, when pettis just lossed to dos anjos it was wrestling but mainly boxing. Like clay guida.
I agree Pettis wins
pettis wins
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