UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Henderson

2,178

CageRank

WINNER
Henderson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance Henderson
WILL WIN

2,280

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Benson Henderson
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 184 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benson
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Pettis
Significant Strikes56
Henderson's excellent striking offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Henderson's average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pettis Henderson
Significant Strikes39
Pettis's average striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Henderson 9.0
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Henderson
68 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Melendez
87 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
65 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.7
fighter Pettis 8.0
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Feb 26, 2012 vs Edgar
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Guida
7 takedowns Aug 14, 2011 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Henderson 6.8
fighter Pettis 8.3
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Castillo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Henderson 8.3
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Henderson 8.1
fighter Pettis 9.3
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 31, 2013UFC 164
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XDEC
2,1022,304
2,1782,228
December 16, 2010WEC 53
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,9102,017
1,9751,952
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Henderson
legend Pettis
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Henderson vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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